Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-07 0.000981 0.001017 0.001053 0.001093 0.001135 0.001179 0.001228
2025-09-14 0.000909 0.000961 0.001015 0.001077 0.001145 0.001218 0.001303
2025-09-21 0.000851 0.000914 0.000982 0.001060 0.001149 0.001248 0.001367
2025-09-28 0.000809 0.000881 0.000959 0.001052 0.001160 0.001283 0.001437
2025-10-05 0.000759 0.000834 0.000917 0.001018 0.001138 0.001278 0.001456
2025-10-12 0.000730 0.000809 0.000899 0.001010 0.001144 0.001304 0.001514
2025-10-19 0.000710 0.000793 0.000889 0.001010 0.001159 0.001341 0.001586
2025-10-26 0.000687 0.000773 0.000873 0.001001 0.001161 0.001361 0.001636
2025-11-02 0.000671 0.000761 0.000867 0.001002 0.001176 0.001397 0.001709
2025-11-09 0.000653 0.000745 0.000854 0.000995 0.001179 0.001417 0.001760
2025-11-16 0.000634 0.000727 0.000837 0.000983 0.001175 0.001427 0.001797
2025-11-23 0.000628 0.000724 0.000841 0.000996 0.001204 0.001481 0.001901
2025-11-30 0.000618 0.000716 0.000837 0.001000 0.001220 0.001521 0.001987
2025-12-07 0.000603 0.000702 0.000824 0.000991 0.001220 0.001536 0.002037
2025-12-14 0.000586 0.000686 0.000809 0.000978 0.001213 0.001543 0.002074
2025-12-21 0.000574 0.000674 0.000799 0.000972 0.001215 0.001561 0.002129
2025-12-28 0.000553 0.000650 0.000772 0.000943 0.001183 0.001527 0.002100
2026-01-04 0.000541 0.000639 0.000763 0.000936 0.001182 0.001541 0.002147
2026-01-11 0.000534 0.000633 0.000758 0.000936 0.001192 0.001570 0.002224
2026-01-18 0.000523 0.000622 0.000748 0.000928 0.001190 0.001580 0.002267
2026-01-25 0.000517 0.000617 0.000745 0.000930 0.001201 0.001611 0.002350
2026-02-01 0.000508 0.000608 0.000737 0.000923 0.001200 0.001624 0.002400
2026-02-08 0.000498 0.000597 0.000726 0.000913 0.001192 0.001625 0.002428